The Science of Conjecture

Evidence and Probability before Pascal by James Franklin

Publisher: The Johns Hopkins University Press

Written in English
Cover of: The Science of Conjecture | James Franklin
Published: Pages: 512 Downloads: 923
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Subjects:

  • History of mathematics,
  • History of science,
  • Science/Mathematics,
  • Mathematics,
  • Science,
  • Europe,
  • History,
  • History & Philosophy,
  • Probability & Statistics - General,
  • History / Europe / General,
  • Europe - General

In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin, senior lecturer in mathematics at the University of New South Wales, tells the story of how people thought about evidence and likelihood in the years before Pascal and Fermat discovered how to compute e there are few areas of life in which people do not weigh likelihood and ponder evidence, The Science of Conjecture explores many. Uncle Petros and Goldbach's Conjecture tells the story of a brilliant mathematician obsessed with proving Goldbach's Conjecture (as reformulated by Euler: every even number greater than two is the sum of two primes). Despite the seemingly difficult mathematical subject, the book is 4/5().   A paper posted online this month has settled a nearly year-old conjecture about the structure of the fundamental building blocks of computer circuits. This “sensitivity” conjecture has stumped many of the most prominent computer scientists over the years, yet the new proof is so simple that one researcher summed it up in a single tweet. “This conjecture has stood as one of the most. How does it proceed? That is a problem, one on which de Jouvenel focuses on in this book. The Art of Conjecture clearly explains what the "study of the future" can mean. De Jouvenel emphasizes the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be studied.

  My conjecture also leads to a cultural-level prediction, though it becomes harder to formalize it. I believe that cultures that protect more strongly freedom of speech in the scientific domain will contribute disproportionally to science. And that is because a culture of freedom of speech encourages and supports open dissent with established ideas. The Science of Conjecture, by James Franklin. Baltimore and London: The Johns Hopkins University Press, Pp. Xiii + H/b too. The subject of this highly readable and entertaining book is uncertainty and the rational methods of dealing with it. With an enviable command of an. The fourth chapter contains a proof of Denjoy's conjecture that employs Melnikov curvature. A brief postscript reports on a deep theorem of Tolsa and its relevance to going beyond Vitushkin's conjecture. Although standard notation is used throughout, there is a symbol glossary at the back of the book for the reader's convenience. The Hauptvermutung (German for main conjecture) of geometric topology is the conjecture that any two triangulations of a triangulable space have a common refinement, a single triangulation that is a subdivision of both of them. It was originally formulated in , by Steinitz and Tietze.. This conjecture is now known to be false. The non-manifold version was disproved by John Milnor in

The Science of Conjecture by James Franklin Download PDF EPUB FB2

The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

"A remarkable book. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries."― Wall Street Journal5/5(6). The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

A remarkable book. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuriesWall Street Journal4/5(12). How did we make reliable predictions before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability in.

What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable.

In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how. The Science of Conjecture book. Read 6 reviews from the world's largest community for readers.

Before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of /5. "The Science of Conjecture is an extraordinary work, a clearly written history of the ideas of evidence and of uncertainty before Pascal. Franklin has mastered a vast literature over thousands of years, bringing it together in scholarly fashion, fully annotated." -- Stephen Stigler, University of Chicago, author of The History of Statistics Cited by: Project MUSE promotes the creation and dissemination of essential humanities and social science resources through collaboration with libraries, publishers, and scholars worldwide.

Forged from a partnership between a university press and a library, Project MUSE is a trusted part of the academic and scholarly community it serves. Before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability inhow did we make reliable predictions. What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable.

In this book, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for and against. This book touches and explains our human development of consciousness and thinking in so many fields eg law, medicine, science, ethics.

The author draws on Ancient Greek texts, Roman texts, the Talmud, Jewish philosophers, Islamic philosophers, Christian theologians and even Sanskrit writings/5. Book recommendation. The Science of Conjecture: Evidence & Probability Before Pascal The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal (JHU ) by James Franklin Elsewhere, here at BF, the concept of eristical argumentation has.

Buy The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal Annotated edition by Franklin, James (ISBN: ) from Amazon's Book Store. Everyday low 5/5(3). In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; how scientists weighed reasons for and against scientific theories; and how merchants counted shipwrecks to determine insurance rates.

The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk. "A remarkable book.

Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries."―Wall Street Journal4/5(12). The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

"A remarkable book. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries."—Wall Street Journal.

The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

Get this book on Amazon | Barnes & Noble | Book Depository | Apple Books. "The Science of Conjecture opens an old chest of human attempts to draw order from havoc and wipes clean the rust from some cast-off classical tools that can now be reused to help build a framework for the unpredictable future." Science "A remarkable book.

Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry : Johns Hopkins University Press. Free 2-day shipping. Buy The Science of Conjecture (Paperback) at   The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.

"A remarkable book. Franklin writes clearly and exhibits a wry wit. But he also ranges knowledgeably across many disciplines and over many centuries."--Wall Street Journal/5(36).

Get this from a library. The science of conjecture: evidence and probability before Pascal. [James Franklin] -- "In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed reasons for.

Bertrand de Jouvenel is one of the fathers of modern foresight. In his book "The Art of Conjecture," the author analyzes various aspects of foresight. The whole interwoven into three levels: sociological, economic and political.

This intellectual adventure and helpful /5(3). the science of conjecture: evidence and probability before Pascal / James Franklin. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN -7 (alk. paper) 1. Probabilities—History. Evidence—History. Title. QA A 4 F73 ¢09 —dc 21 00 ISBN A catalog record for this book is.

The Science of Conjecture The Science of Conjecture Nadler, Steven Book Reviews ous. My personal memory of my education, for instance, is limited and lacking in detail and may well be quite insufficient to support general conclusions about what other people believe and Author: Nadler, Steven.

That is a problem, one on which de Jouvenel focuses on in this book. The Art of Conjecture clearly explains what the "study of the future" can mean. De Jouvenel emphasizes the logical and political problems of forecasting and discusses methods in economics, sociology, and political science by which the future can be studied.

Read this book on Questia. The essays and lectures of which this book is composed are variations upon one very simple theme--the thesis that we can learn from our develop a theory of knowledge and of its growth. The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal - Ebook written by James Franklin.

Read this book using Google Play Books app on your PC, android, iOS devices. Download for offline reading, highlight, bookmark or take notes while you read The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability before Pascal.

"The Science of Conjecture is an extraordinary work, a clearly written history of the ideas of evidence and of uncertainty before Pascal. Franklin has mastered a vast literature over thousands of years, bringing it together in scholarly fashion, fully annotated." -- Stephen Stigler, University of Chicago, author of The History of Statistics Reviews: 9.

In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin has set out to provide a full account of all non-mathematical approaches to probabilistic reasoning prior to that annus mirabilis and also, in a brief but very useful epilogue, to summarize subsequent non-mathematical developments. "The strength of The Science of Conjecture lies in its panoramic exposition of developments across the centuries and across intellectual disciplines and human endeavors.

It is, as one reviewer wrote, 'a magesterial account of matters as diverse as the Talmud, Justinian's Digest, torture, witch hunts, Tudor treason trials, ancient and medieval astronomy and physics, humanist histriography. Interested in The Science of Conjecture by James Franklin.

Discover similar books recommended by the world's most successful people in Before Pascal and Fermat's discovery of the mathematics of probability inhow did we make reliable predictions. What methods in law, science, commerce, philosophy, and logic helped us to get at the truth in cases where certainty was not attainable.

In The Science of Conjecture, James Franklin examines how judges, witch inquisitors, and juries evaluated evidence; scientists weighed. Booktopia has The Science of Conjecture, Evidence and Probability before Pascal by James Franklin.

Buy a discounted Paperback of The Science of Conjecture online from Australia's leading online : Paperback. The Science of Conjecture: Evidence and Probability Before Pascal by James Franklin avg rating — 37 ratings — published — 4 editions.The Science of Conjecture provides a history of rational methods of dealing with uncertainty and explores the coming to consciousness of the human understanding of risk.\/span>\"@ en\/a> ; \u00A0\u00A0\u00A0\n schema:description\/a> \" Preface to the edition -- Preface -- The ancient law of proof -- The medieval law of evidence: suspicion.James Franklin is the author of The Science of Conjecture ( avg rating, 36 ratings, 6 reviews, published ), What Science Knows ( avg rating, /5(15).